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Regional Climate Dynamics publications The goal of our work in this area is to understand the forces shaping climate variability and change on spatial scales most relevant to humans and ecosystems. These scales are much smaller than those that have been the historical focus of climate research. The need for a fine-scale approach is particularly acute in regions characterized by complex coastlines and intense topography, where profound climate variations may occur on scales of just few kilometers. Examples include the California region, and the coastal region of South America encompassing Peru and northern Chile. Both regions are our laboratories for understanding the intricacies of coastal climate. We are also active in characterizing and projecting climate change at the regional scale. Underpinning all of this work is an active program of regional earth system model development and validation. Further information about research activities in coastal climate, regional climate change, and earth system model development is provided below. Coastal Climate We
view the study of coastal climate as a critical focus area for our
regional
climate dynamics research for two reasons. First, nearly half
the world's
population lives within 100km of the coast, so that coastal climate
processes
have a disproportionate impact on humans. Second, with
complex
coastlines and topography, the coastal zone is often characterized by
sharp
climate gradients unresolved in conventional global climate models.
Thus
understanding climate in these areas practically requires a regional,
high-resolution approach. One of our laboratories
for studying
coastal climate has been Southern California. We
examined the region's
modes of atmospheric variability in
a
high-resolution (6-km) regional simulation, finding that the region has
its own
unique modes of variability whose timing and structure cannot be
related in any simple way to larger-scale atmospheric patterns.
In a
follow-on
study, we
investigated the dynamics of one of these modes, the region's famous
Santa Ana
winds. We have also examined how coastal topography shapes the region's
hydrologic cycle and diurnal cycles of
temperature and circulation.
Finally, analyzing simulations with our newly-developed
regional coupled
ocean-atmosphere model, we've demonstrated that mesoscale processes
govern air-sea interaction in the
region, shaping upwelling and and regional
ocean circulation. Another of our laboratories for studying
coastal
climate is the region encompassing Peru, northern Chile region, and the
adjacent southeast Pacific, and studies of this region are forthcoming.
This is part of our participation in the VOCALS project . Regional Climate Change Building
on our work examining the dynamics of Southern California's Santa Ana
winds in
the current climate, we undertook a regional
climate change modeling study of the changes in
these wind patterns resulting from increasing greenhouse gases.
It turns
out these winds decrease in intensity in the future simulation, largely
due to
a weakening wintertime temperature difference between the Mojave Desert
and the
coast. Changes in the hydrologic cycle at the regional scale
are a
potentially critical dimension of climate change, but are poorly
understood.
We have begun to improve understanding in this area by
examining
simulated changes in precipitation, evaporation and snowpack in
California.
We are also examining this issue from an observational
perspective.
For example, we developed a comprehensive data set of monthly
snow
measurements in California's Sierra Nevada, and used the data to demonstrate that
there have been advances in the timing of snow melt, even in
areas where snowpack has been increasing. Earth System Model Development Go to the Climate Feedbacks or Interdisciplinary
research pages. |
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