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Last updated:
The current NINO-34 forecast of nonlinear model is based on data from January 1950 through August 2008, and predicts near neutral conditions for 2008/2009 winter. The error bars correspond to one standard deviation of the ensemble forecast. You can also check a plume of Nino-34 forecasts from different statistical and dynamical models (including our UCLA-TCD model) maintained by IRI.
Kaplan, A., M. Cane, Y. Kushnir, A. Clement, M. Blumenthal,
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Kondrashov D, Kravtsov S, Robertson AW and Ghil M., 2005:
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